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Does rotating goalkeepers effectively improve performance?

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Does Rotating Goalkeepers Improve Performance?

Brighton & Hove Albion, under the guidance of manager Roberto de Zerbi, have taken a unique approach to their goalkeeping situation this season. They have broken a Premier League record by rotating their goalkeepers, with Jason Steele and Bart Verbruggen taking turns between the sticks. This strategy has raised several questions – does rotating goalkeepers effectively improve performance? And why is Brighton implementing this approach in the first place?

Unprecedented Rotation:

No top-flight team has experimented with rotating goalkeepers before in the Premier League era. The closest instances were due to injuries or a dip in form. However, Brighton has taken a different approach, constantly swapping between Steele and Verbruggen. As of now, they have changed their goalkeeper 17 times in the 2023-24 season, with neither player starting more than three consecutive matches across all competitions.

Comparing Steele and Verbruggen:

Despite their differences in age and experience, there is little discernible difference in performance between Steele and Verbruggen. Steele, at 33 years old, offers more experience, while Verbruggen, at 21, possesses raw talent that needs nurturing.

Upon analyzing footage of both goalkeepers, it becomes apparent that Verbruggen’s movements in the box are more economical compared to Steele’s positioning, which can be questionable. Steele’s decision-making may contribute to his low save percentage this season, the worst in the Premier League. Verbruggen, on the other hand, displays more self-assurance but occasionally gets drawn too much towards his near post, a trait he shares with Steele.

Neither goalkeeper has had an outstanding season in terms of shot-stopping, although Verbruggen’s save percentage is notably higher. Verbruggen is underperforming by 3% based on expected saves, while Steele is underperforming by 7%. Both goalkeepers rank poorly in this metric.

Ball Distribution:

In terms of ball distribution, there is little difference between Steele and Verbruggen. Steele is considered the more accomplished passer, although Verbruggen’s feet are also a strength. Verbruggen has completed more passes per game with a higher success rate than any other Premier League goalkeeper this season. While Steele’s distribution has led to five goals for Brighton, the team has actually created more chances per game with Verbruggen in goal.

The Rest of the Team:

Brighton has not only rotated their goalkeepers but also made numerous changes to the rest of their team. With 108 changes in the Premier League alone, De Zerbi has been the most frequent changer of personnel this season. This strategy is in stark contrast to Aston Villa, who have made only 40 changes despite also participating in midweek European matches.

Defensive Issues:

While having a regular presence behind them might provide stability, Brighton’s defensive issues extend beyond the goalkeeper position. The team has conceded goals due to poor defending and marking, regardless of who is in goal. Constantly changing goalkeepers raises questions about its effectiveness.

Verbruggen’s Development:

Verbruggen’s pathway as a young goalkeeper in the Premier League raises interesting considerations. He joined Brighton from Anderlecht at the age of 21 and rapidly transitioned through different levels. While he currently lacks elite status, his potential is evident. The question arises: which pathway is preferable for a young goalkeeper? James Trafford, another young goalkeeper at Burnley, plays every week but faces challenges in a struggling team. Verbruggen, on the other hand, may benefit from being protected by rotating in and out of the team, but this approach might hinder his progress.

The Need for Clarity:

While rotating goalkeepers has not hindered Brighton’s performance, it has not noticeably improved it either. However, for an individual player, consistent game time can aid in finding rhythm, settling, and gaining confidence. Steele’s form has not significantly changed despite the rotation, but it remains uncertain how Verbruggen would perform with an extended run in the team. It may be time for Brighton to provide Verbruggen with more opportunities, especially if their plan is to make him the regular number one in the future.

The Outcome:

The success or failure of this rotation experiment will ultimately determine whether it is a strategy worth repeating. As the season progresses, it will become clear whether this approach has been effective for Brighton. The team’s performance with Verbruggen as the main goalkeeper next season will provide further insights into the impact of rotating goalkeepers.

In conclusion, Brighton’s decision to rotate goalkeepers has raised eyebrows and sparked debate. While there is not much difference between Steele and Verbruggen’s performances, it remains to be seen whether this rotation has had a positive or negative impact on the team. Only time will reveal the true effectiveness of this unique strategy.

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