Preview of the Final UFC Event of the Year
Get ready for an action-packed card as we gear up for the final UFC event of the year. This event features two championship fights that promise to deliver excitement and intensity.
Main Event: Leon Edwards vs. Colby Covington
In the welterweight championship bout, Leon Edwards (-150) will face off against Colby Covington (+125). It will be a thrilling matchup as Edwards looks to replicate his championship performances against Covington, who holds an advantage in various metrics.
Covington boasts impressive statistics, landing 4.1 significant strikes per minute and absorbing 3.05 per minute. He also has a strong takedown game, averaging 4.05 takedowns per 15 minutes. Additionally, Covington excels in striking defense with a 55 percent success rate.
On the other hand, Edwards is known for his sharp kickboxing skills, which serve as his foundation. His precision and technique make him a formidable opponent. Edwards may capitalize on Covington’s tendency to rush into the pocket, potentially landing a significant blow. Covington has shown vulnerability in the past, having been dropped four times by Usman.
Another possible scenario is Edwards neutralizing Covington’s attacks, defending takedowns effectively, and keeping him at a distance while delivering leg kicks. However, considering Covington’s aggressive fighting style, it is more likely that he will push forward relentlessly, forcing Edwards to fight defensively and engaging in high-paced wrestling exchanges.
Currently, Covington is the underdog at +125 on BetMGM, offering potential value for bettors. Edwards, the favorite at -150, has multiple paths to victory, and it wouldn’t be surprising if he inflicts early damage. However, Covington’s offensive output and wrestling prowess make a decision win the most probable outcome, with odds of +210 or better available across the industry.
Co-Main Event: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Brandon Royval
In the flyweight championship bout, Alexandre Pantoja (-200) will take on Brandon Royval (+165). Pantoja holds the advantage in distance striking and maintains a consistent volume compared to Royval.
Pantoja’s impressive stats include landing 4.41 significant strikes per minute and absorbing 3.81 per minute. He also showcases his grappling skills with an average of 1.75 takedowns per 15 minutes and excels in securing the back position.
Royval lacks the physicality to defend against Pantoja’s initial wrestling shots, making it likely that Pantoja will find success in this area once again. While it may require some scrambling, Pantoja is expected to secure the back position, providing him with opportunities for round-winning moments and potential submissions.
Royval’s best chance of victory lies in surviving the early exchanges, wearing down Pantoja, and maintaining relentless pressure until Pantoja breaks. Although challenging, this outcome is within reach for Royval.
For a detailed breakdown of every fight on the UFC 296 slate, visit my website DailyFanMMA. You can also reach out to me on Twitter/X at BrettAppley for more information.