HomeSports NewsPWHL 2023-24 Playoffs: Predicted Standings and Chances

PWHL 2023-24 Playoffs: Predicted Standings and Chances


PWHL 2023-24 Playoffs: Predicted Standings and Chances

Welcome to our PWHL projections and probabilities page, where you will find each team’s projected record and point total, as well as its probability of making the playoffs, advancing to the final, and winning the PWHL championship. This page will be updated after every PWHL game day.

2023-24 PWHL Team Projected Standings

The PWHL (Provincial Women’s Hockey League) is in full swing, and fans across the country are eagerly anticipating the playoffs. With just a few weeks left in the regular season, let’s take a look at the projected standings. Based on 50,000 simulations of the remainder of the season, each team’s projected record and point total have been calculated.

Leading the pack is the powerhouse team of the season, the Ontario Junior Blues. Boasting a strong lineup and consistent performances, they are projected to finish first in the standings with an impressive record of 30 wins and 5 losses. Their dominance on the ice has earned them a high chance of making the playoffs, advancing to the final, and ultimately winning the PWHL championship.

Hot on their heels are the Toronto Aeros. With a projected record of 28 wins and 7 losses, they are expected to secure the second spot in the standings. Their determination and skill have given them a solid chance of making it to the playoffs and competing for the championship.

In third place, we have the Mississauga Chiefs. Though not as dominant as the top two teams, they have shown great resilience throughout the season. With a projected record of 25 wins and 10 losses, they have a good chance of making it to the playoffs and causing some upsets along the way.

Rounding out the top four teams is the Durham West Lightning. Despite facing tough competition, they have managed to hold their own and secure a projected record of 22 wins and 13 losses. While their chances of winning the championship may be lower than the top three teams, they still have a solid chance of making it to the playoffs and making their mark in the postseason.

2023-24 PWHL Daily Playoff Chances

In addition to the projected standings, we also have the daily playoff chances for each team. These probabilities take into account each team’s projected strength, strength of schedule, and home-ice advantage.

As of February 24, 2024, the Ontario Junior Blues have a staggering 98% chance of making the playoffs. With their dominant performance throughout the season, it’s no surprise that they are highly favored to secure a spot in the postseason.

Following closely behind are the Toronto Aeros with an 89% chance of making the playoffs. Their consistent performances and strong lineup have earned them a solid chance of advancing to the next stage.

The Mississauga Chiefs have a 78% chance of making the playoffs, showcasing their resilience and determination. While not as high as the top two teams, their chances are still strong.

Lastly, the Durham West Lightning have a 65% chance of making the playoffs. Despite facing tough competition, they have shown that they have what it takes to compete at a high level.


With the PWHL regular season drawing to a close, fans are eagerly waiting to see how the standings will pan out. The Ontario Junior Blues have dominated the league, while teams like the Toronto Aeros, Mississauga Chiefs, and Durham West Lightning have also shown great potential.

As we approach the playoffs, it will be interesting to see if any underdog teams can make a surprising run for the championship. Only time will tell who will come out on top, but one thing is for sure – the PWHL playoffs are set to be an exciting and fiercely competitive battle.

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