As the Premier League season draws to a close, Manchester United and Liverpool are locked in a battle for the top four spots. Manchester United had been on track for Champions League qualification under manager Erik ten Hag, but back-to-back 1-0 defeats to Brighton and West Ham have seen Liverpool make a comeback. Jurgen Klopp’s men have won five games in a row since drawing 2-2 with Arsenal last month, building momentum at the right time. However, according to data from FiveThirtyEight, Liverpool may have given themselves too much to do in the closing weeks of the season. The Reds currently trail Manchester United by just one point, but United possess a crucial game in hand. FiveThirtyEight predicts that United will win two and draw two of their remaining matches to finish on 71 points, while Liverpool will win two and lose one to finish on 68. In terms of goal difference, Liverpool is currently on +25 and United on +8. Manchester City is predicted to win the Premier League title by four points, with Brighton grabbing the second Europa League spot ahead of Tottenham. Nottingham Forest is predicted to leapfrog Leeds United into 17th place, with Sam Allardyce’s West Bromwich Albion and Everton and Southampton being relegated.
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