The battle for Premier League survival continues to provide drama and unpredictability, but there are signs the relegation picture is finally becoming a bit clearer. At the start of April, there were only four points separating Crystal Palace in 12th and bottom-of-the-table Southampton. Now, less than a month on, there have been big changes with Bournemouth, Wolves, Crystal Palace and West Ham making a strong dash for survival. The gap between 12th-placed Crystal Palace and bottom side Saints is now 13 points, but there are still only six points between the bottom five. Data specialists Nielsen’s Gracenote studied the stats and judged each team’s chances of being relegated based on their remaining fixtures, giving them a percentage chance of survival. Gracenote says 39 points will be enough to guarantee survival, with more than a 90% chance of staying up with 36 points.
Bournemouth (15th, 33pts) have the best form of the season and have taken them from more than a 50% chance of relegation at the beginning of April to the brink of safety now. Leeds United (16th, 30pts) have slightly better form than their season as a whole, but Jamie Vardy’s late leveller against them took their chances of going down from 16% to 47%. Leicester City (17th, 29pts) moved out of the drop zone after Saturday’s victory against Wolves and Vardy’s late goal against Leeds took their chances of being relegated down from 51% to 31%. Everton (18th, 28pts) have hit a wall and have only picked up two points in the past four matches. Nottingham Forest (19th, 27pts) are in their first Premier League season since 1998-99 and have taken just eight points from 54 in 18 matches this season against teams in the top 11. Southampton (20th, 24pts) are on their third manager of the season and have gone seven matches without a win.
BBC Sport wants to know how you think the fight to avoid the drop will go. See what percentage chance the teams have of surviving relegation and give your thoughts with our ranked list.