NHL 2023-24: Projected Playoff Chances and Standings
Welcome to our NHL projections and probabilities page, where we provide you with an in-depth analysis of each team’s chances of making the playoffs and their odds of advancing to each subsequent round, including winning the coveted Stanley Cup. Our projections are derived from 50,000 simulations of the remainder of the season, taking into account factors such as a team’s projected strength, current health, and the strength of their schedule.
To determine each team’s projected strength, we assess the value of the players on their roster, considering both their Offensive and Defensive Ratings. This comprehensive approach allows us to provide you with accurate projections that reflect the true potential of each team.
We update this page every morning, ensuring that you have access to the most up-to-date information. Feel free to click on any chart for a larger view. All our projections and probabilities are rounded to the nearest whole number for your convenience.
As of our last update on March 2, 2024, at 1:00 A.M. EST, let’s take a closer look at the projected standings for the 2023-24 NHL season:
Projected Standings:
In the Eastern Conference, the Toronto Maple Leafs are predicted to finish at the top with an impressive point total. Following closely behind are the Boston Bruins and Tampa Bay Lightning. In the Western Conference, the Colorado Avalanche are projected to lead the pack, with the Vegas Golden Knights and Edmonton Oilers not far behind.
Division Chances:
The Eastern Conference is set to witness a fierce battle for division titles. The Atlantic Division appears to be a three-way race between the Maple Leafs, Bruins, and Lightning. Over in the Metropolitan Division, the Washington Capitals and New York Islanders are expected to contend for the top spot.
In the Western Conference, the Central Division is likely to be dominated by the Avalanche, while the Pacific Division is anticipated to be a close competition between the Golden Knights and Oilers.
Daily Playoff Chances:
Each day, our simulations calculate the probability of each team making the playoffs. As the season progresses, these chances fluctuate based on team performance. It’s a nail-biting experience as teams fight for their postseason dreams.
Strength of Schedule:
The strength of a team’s schedule plays a crucial role in determining their performance. Taking into account opponent strength, venue, and rest, we analyze the difficulty level each team will face in their remaining matches. This assessment helps us provide accurate projections for each team’s journey.
Projections on Day 1 of the NHL Season:
At the start of the season, our projections provided an initial glimpse into how teams were expected to perform. However, as the season unfolds, variables such as injuries and trades can significantly impact a team’s trajectory. It’s fascinating to compare these early projections to the current standings and see how teams have surpassed expectations or fallen short.
In conclusion, our NHL projections and probabilities page offers a comprehensive analysis of each team’s chances in the 2023-24 season. Our simulations take into account various factors to provide you with accurate predictions and keep you informed about the ever-changing landscape of the NHL. Stay tuned for daily updates and witness how these projections evolve as teams battle for a spot in the playoffs and ultimately, a shot at lifting the Stanley Cup.