Welcome to our NHL projections and probabilities page, where you can find detailed information about each team’s projected point total, their probability of making the playoffs, and their odds of advancing to each subsequent round, including winning the prestigious Stanley Cup.
Our projections are based on 50,000 simulations of the remainder of the season, taking into account various factors such as each team’s projected strength, current health, and strength of schedule. The strength of schedule includes opponent strength, venue, and rest. Additionally, each team’s projected strength is determined by the value of the players on its roster, which is based on their Offensive and Defensive Rating.
Please note that this page will be updated every morning to provide you with the most up-to-date information. You can click on any chart to expand it for a larger view. All projections and probabilities are rounded to the nearest whole number.
Last updated: December 21, 2023, 9:20 A.M. EST
2023-24 NHL Team Projected Standings
Here you can find the projected standings for each NHL team in the 2023-24 season. To view the chart, click [here](https://cdn.theathletic.com/app/uploads/2023/12/21091931/Screenshot-2023-12-21-at-9.17.28%E2%80%AFAM.png).
2023-24 NHL Division Chances
Curious about each team’s chances of winning their division? Check out the chart [here](https://cdn.theathletic.com/app/uploads/2023/12/21092013/Screenshot-2023-12-21-at-9.18.12%E2%80%AFAM.png) for all the details.
2023-24 NHL Daily Playoff Chances
Stay updated on each team’s daily playoff chances with this chart [here](https://cdn.theathletic.com/app/uploads/2023/12/21092051/Screenshot-2023-12-21-at-9.19.08%E2%80%AFAM.png).
2023-24 NHL Strength of Schedule
Want to know which teams have the toughest schedule? Take a look at the strength of schedule chart [here](https://cdn.theathletic.com/app/uploads/2023/12/20083138/Screenshot-2023-12-20-at-8.25.48%E2%80%AFAM.png) for more information.
Projections on Day 1 of NHL Season
Check out the projections for each team on the first day of the NHL season by clicking [here](https://cdn.theathletic.com/app/uploads/2023/10/11082608/Screenshot-2023-10-11-at-12.26.37-AM.png).
Stay tuned for regular updates and the latest NHL projections and probabilities.