Week 4 of the NFL season brought about significant changes in the futures awards markets, with new favorites emerging for the Most Valuable Player (MVP) and Offensive Rookie of the Year. Let’s take a look at how the odds have shifted following last week’s action.
Most Valuable Player
The MVP race was shaken up after the showdown between the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins. Buffalo’s quarterback, Josh Allen, leapfrogged Tua Tagovailoa, Patrick Mahomes, and Jalen Hurts in the MVP odds. Allen’s impressive performance last week, with 320 yards, four touchdowns, and a perfect passer rating of 158.3, propelled him to the top spot. Tagovailoa’s odds fell from +300 to +500, making him the second favorite. Mahomes’ odds remained steady at +550 for the third consecutive week. All three players have upcoming games with high-scoring potential, giving them an opportunity to further enhance their numbers. On the other hand, Joe Burrow’s odds have slipped from +700 to 60-1 due to his poor performance this season.
Offensive Player of the Year
Christian McCaffrey entered the season as the co-favorite at 11-1 alongside Ja’Marr Chase. Last week, McCaffrey became the favorite with odds of +400, just ahead of Tyreek Hill (+450). His odds shortened significantly after an outstanding performance of 177 scrimmage yards and 4 touchdowns. McCaffrey currently leads the NFL in scrimmage yards and touchdowns, making him a strong contender for the award. Hill and Justin Jefferson are the only other players with odds shorter than 15-1 (+450).
Defensive Player of the Year
Micah Parsons remains the favorite to win the Defensive Player of the Year award with odds of +150. Myles Garrett follows closely behind at +350, while T.J. Watt’s odds dropped from +350 to +425. Parsons had a quiet week without any sacks against the Patriots, marking the first time this season he was held without a sack. However, he will have an opportunity to bounce back as he and the Cowboys face the 49ers on Sunday Night Football.
Offensive Rookie of the Year
After leading the Texans to back-to-back wins, Davis Mills has surpassed Trevor Lawrence as the favorite for Offensive Rookie of the Year. Mills’ odds improved from 14-1 to become the frontrunner, while Lawrence’s odds slipped to 4-1, the longest he has had in this market. Puka Nacua (+450), De’Von Achane, and Anthony Richardson (both +500) are also in contention for the award. Nacua has set a rookie record for most receptions and receiving yards through four games.
Defensive Rookie of the Year
Jalen Carter remains the favorite to win Defensive Rookie of the Year with even-money odds (+100). Carter’s odds improved after forcing two fumbles in Week 3, although he was held without a sack last week. Seahawks cornerback Devon Witherspoon made a significant move in the odds, going from 16-1 to +150 after recording two sacks and a pick-six on Monday Night Football against the Giants. Will Anderson Jr., the preseason favorite, saw his odds slip from +425 to +850.
Coach of the Year
Dan Campbell and Josh McDaniels are currently co-favorites to win Coach of the Year. Campbell’s odds have remained steady throughout the season, while McDaniels moved into pole position after Week 2. Kyle Shanahan is the third favorite at 8-1, and DeMeco Ryans saw his odds improve from 25-1 to 9-1 after last week’s win.
These odds are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.
In addition to the awards markets, there are also ongoing discussions about the Super Bowl winner, NFL Most Valuable Player, AFC Championship, and NFC Championship. As the season progresses, these markets will continue to fluctuate based on team performances and individual player contributions.
Overall, Week 4 brought about significant changes in the futures awards markets, with new favorites emerging and previous frontrunners facing challenges. As the season unfolds, it will be interesting to see how these odds continue to shift and who ultimately takes home the prestigious awards.